November 1, 2001
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:11 | 0:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 302 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +141 | -39 |
BJ Penn achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:11 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 280 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
BJ Penn controlled the striking exchanges with 5 vs 0 significant strikes, 83.3% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. BJ Penn capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 147 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -16 |
BJ Penn demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, BJ Penn capitalized on this activity level, while Caol Uno's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
BJ Penn extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Caol Uno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Caol Uno |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

