June 28, 2001
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 161 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -31 |
BJ Penn earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
BJ Penn controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 1 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. BJ Penn capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 2:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
BJ Penn landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 120 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -20 |
BJ Penn demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, BJ Penn capitalized on this activity level, while Din Thomas's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
BJ Penn extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Din Thomas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Din Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.