April 9, 2010
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 205 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +55 |
Frankie Edgar overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran BJ Penn.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 296 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +99 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Frankie Edgar captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 447 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Frankie Edgar earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 262 | 232 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 487 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
BJ Penn controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (71 vs 61). However, since BJ Penn lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Frankie Edgar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 480 | 1 379 |
| ELO Change | -100 | +100 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 289 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +57 |
Frankie Edgar demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Frankie Edgar capitalized on this activity level, while BJ Penn's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 177 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +36 |
Frankie Edgar extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. BJ Penn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Frankie Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 354 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.