January 30, 2009
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 247 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +54 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Georges St-Pierre captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 437 | 1 600 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +70 |
Georges St-Pierre gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 92 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 122 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 310 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 390 | 1 680 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated the striking exchanges with 310 vs 63 total strikes, 92 vs 16 significant strikes, 75.4% vs 43.2% accuracy. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 14:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 39 |
| Ground ELO | 1 418 | 1 748 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated BJ Penn on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 14:57 of control time, 39 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 253 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 239 | 1 415 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +23 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while BJ Penn's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 149 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +29 |
Georges St-Pierre continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. BJ Penn's now at 0.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 371 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.