BJ Penn vs Paul Creighton

May 9, 2002

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1151
(+28)
BJ Penn
Winner: BJ Penn
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:23

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

BJ Penn+28
Paul Creighton-24
976
(-24)
Paul Creighton

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +27Paul Creighton: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 081973
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

BJ Penn's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding BJ Penn for the expected result. Had Paul Creighton pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +18Paul Creighton: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 063982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +28Paul Creighton: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:233:23
Win Type ELO1 313986
ELO Change+28-14
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What Happened

BJ Penn gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +42Paul Creighton: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Significant Strikes Landed396
Significant Strikes Attempted568
Total Strikes Landed918
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 298958
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

BJ Penn dominated the striking exchanges with 91 vs 8 total strikes, 39 vs 6 significant strikes. BJ Penn capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +43Paul Creighton: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time3:281:46
Ground Strikes Landed171
Ground ELO1 156957
ELO Change+43-43
💡

What Happened

BJ Penn controlled Paul Creighton on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:28 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +33Paul Creighton: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Days Since Last Fight119N/A
Activity ELO1 166987
ELO Change+33-13
💡

What Happened

BJ Penn demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, BJ Penn capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Creighton's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +20Paul Creighton: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 073982
ELO Change+20-18
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What Happened

BJ Penn started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Creighton is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: +19Paul Creighton: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennPaul Creighton
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.