December 28, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 26 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 23 | -23 |
| Experience ELO | 1 037 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +71 |
Ryan Hall overcame a 23-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran BJ Penn.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 121 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:46 | 2:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 209 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +107 |
Ryan Hall earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Ryan Hall slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Ryan Hall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:34 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 117 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Ryan Hall edged out BJ Penn on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 553 | 756 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +27 |
Ryan Hall demonstrated extended layoff with 756 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ryan Hall capitalized on this activity level, while BJ Penn's 553-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Ryan Hall extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. BJ Penn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Ryan Hall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 144 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.