January 14, 2017
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 18 | -18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +63 |
Yair Rodriguez overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran BJ Penn.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 176 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:24 | 0:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 292 | 1 326 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +120 |
Yair Rodriguez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 099 | 1 392 |
| ELO Change | -156 | +156 |
Yair Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 7 total strikes, 55 vs 4 significant strikes, 49.5% vs 18.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 198 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Yair Rodriguez controlled BJ Penn on the ground with 0:19 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 925 | 163 |
| Activity ELO | 1 230 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +45 |
Yair Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 163 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while BJ Penn's 925-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +49 |
Yair Rodriguez continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. BJ Penn's now at 0.
| Metric | BJ Penn | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 201 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

