BJ Penn vs Yair Rodriguez

January 14, 2017

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1199
(-51)
BJ Penn
Winner: Yair Rodriguez
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:24

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

BJ Penn-51
Yair Rodriguez+69
1231
(+69)
Yair Rodriguez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -29Yair Rodriguez: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Total UFC Fights246
Experience Gap18-18
Experience ELO1 0961 220
ELO Change-29+63
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What Happened

Yair Rodriguez overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran BJ Penn.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -27Yair Rodriguez: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1761 125
ELO Change-27+27
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -58Yair Rodriguez: +120

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:240:24
Win Type ELO1 2921 326
ELO Change-58+120
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What Happened

Yair Rodriguez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -156Yair Rodriguez: +156

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Significant Strikes Landed455
Significant Strikes Attempted22111
Total Strikes Landed756
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0991 392
ELO Change-156+156
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What Happened

Yair Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 7 total strikes, 55 vs 4 significant strikes, 49.5% vs 18.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -63Yair Rodriguez: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:220:19
Ground Strikes Landed016
Ground ELO1 1981 254
ELO Change-63+63
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What Happened

Yair Rodriguez controlled BJ Penn on the ground with 0:19 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -26Yair Rodriguez: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Days Since Last Fight925163
Activity ELO1 2301 219
ELO Change-26+45
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What Happened

Yair Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 163 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yair Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while BJ Penn's 925-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -20Yair Rodriguez: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Win Streak06
Win Streak ELO1 0991 181
ELO Change-20+49
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What Happened

Yair Rodriguez continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. BJ Penn's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
BJ Penn: -29Yair Rodriguez: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricBJ PennYair Rodriguez
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 2011 127
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

Extra Bonuses
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Why It Matters:

Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

BJ Penn

Title Victory Bonus For This Fight: +0
Total Title Victories So Far:5
Total Title Victory Bonus So Far:25