November 30, 2017
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 948 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Lauren Murphy's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lauren Murphy for the expected result. Had Barb Honchak pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 989 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Lauren Murphy receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 236 | 197 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Barb Honchak controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (71 vs 59). However, since Barb Honchak lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lauren Murphy's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 3:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Lauren Murphy edged out Barb Honchak on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:28 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 507 |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +21 |
Lauren Murphy demonstrated extended layoff with 507 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Lauren Murphy capitalized on this activity level, while Barb Honchak's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 977 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Lauren Murphy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Barb Honchak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.