July 5, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 925 | 953 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 955 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:32 | 3:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 939 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +103 |
Roxanne Modafferi gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 889 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Roxanne Modafferi dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 24 total strikes, 51 vs 24 significant strikes, 39.5% vs 30.0% accuracy. Roxanne Modafferi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 31 |
| Ground ELO | 871 | 961 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Roxanne Modafferi controlled Barb Honchak on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:24 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 955 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Roxanne Modafferi demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Roxanne Modafferi capitalized on this activity level, while Barb Honchak's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 955 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Roxanne Modafferi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Barb Honchak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Barb Honchak | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 955 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.