April 12, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Cole Miller's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Bart Palaszewski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:23 | 4:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 005 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +50 |
Cole Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Bart Palaszewski controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (18 vs 5), superior accuracy (29.0% vs 11.6%). However, since Bart Palaszewski lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cole Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 843 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Cole Miller controlled Bart Palaszewski on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 973 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Cole Miller demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Bart Palaszewski's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 968 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Cole Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bart Palaszewski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bart Palaszewski | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.