July 14, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Jack Della Maddalena's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jack Della Maddalena for the expected result. Had Bassil Hafez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 998 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -2 | +2 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jack Della Maddalena receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 83 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 149 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 990 | 1 391 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
Jack Della Maddalena dominated the striking exchanges with 149 vs 48 total strikes, 83 vs 32 significant strikes, 60.6% vs 25.8% accuracy. Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 20 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:48 | 1:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 1 299 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Jack Della Maddalena edged out Bassil Hafez on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:19 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +17 |
Jack Della Maddalena demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this activity level, while Bassil Hafez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +27 |
Jack Della Maddalena continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Bassil Hafez's now at 0.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

