November 16, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:40 | 0:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 014 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +76 |
Oban Elliott gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 70 | 117 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 914 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Oban Elliott controlled the striking exchanges with 66 vs 24 total strikes, 65 vs 24 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 34.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Oban Elliott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 004 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Oban Elliott landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +46 |
Oban Elliott demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Oban Elliott capitalized on this activity level, while Bassil Hafez's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Oban Elliott extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bassil Hafez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bassil Hafez | Oban Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.