March 25, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Chris Gutierrez's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Chris Gutierrez for the expected result. Had Batgerel Danaa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:34 | 2:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 148 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +103 |
Chris Gutierrez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 108 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Chris Gutierrez controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 30 significant strikes, 51.9% vs 28.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 064 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Chris Gutierrez landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
Chris Gutierrez demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Chris Gutierrez capitalized on this activity level, while Batgerel Danaa's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Chris Gutierrez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Batgerel Danaa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Batgerel Danaa | Chris Gutierrez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.