May 8, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:09 | 4:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 027 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -42 |
Bec Rawlings earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 893 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Bec Rawlings edged the striking exchanges with 33 vs 8 total strikes, 21 vs 7 significant strikes, 52.5% vs 41.2% accuracy. Bec Rawlings capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:14 | 1:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 007 | 829 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Bec Rawlings controlled Lisa Ellis on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:14 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Bec Rawlings demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Bec Rawlings capitalized on this activity level, while Lisa Ellis's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Bec Rawlings started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lisa Ellis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Lisa Ellis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.