August 26, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:17 | 0:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 030 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +75 |
Paige VanZant gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Paige VanZant controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paige VanZant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 963 | 917 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Paige VanZant landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 261 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Paige VanZant demonstrated standard activity with 261 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paige VanZant capitalized on this activity level, while Bec Rawlings's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Paige VanZant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bec Rawlings is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bec Rawlings | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.