May 10, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -29 |
Bekzat Almakhan overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Katona.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:04 | 1:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -43 |
Bekzat Almakhan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 854 |
| ELO Change | +154 | -154 |
Bekzat Almakhan controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 1 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bekzat Almakhan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 034 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 435 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
Bekzat Almakhan demonstrated extended layoff with 435 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Bekzat Almakhan capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Katona's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Bekzat Almakhan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Katona is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Brad Katona |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.