March 1, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Umar Nurmagomedov's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Umar Nurmagomedov for the expected result. Had Bekzat Almakhan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 987 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Umar Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 145 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 976 | 1 392 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Umar Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 145 vs 5 total strikes, 68 vs 3 significant strikes, 69.4% vs 18.8% accuracy. Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 11:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 61 |
| Ground ELO | 976 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Umar Nurmagomedov dominated Bekzat Almakhan on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:26 of control time, 61 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 413 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +12 |
Umar Nurmagomedov demonstrated extended layoff with 413 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Bekzat Almakhan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +27 |
Umar Nurmagomedov continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Bekzat Almakhan's now at 0.
| Metric | Bekzat Almakhan | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

