Bekzat Almakhan vs Umar Nurmagomedov

March 1, 2024

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

983
(-17)
Bekzat Almakhan
Winner: Umar Nurmagomedov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Bekzat Almakhan-17
Umar Nurmagomedov+18
1218
(+18)
Umar Nurmagomedov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -18Umar Nurmagomedov: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9821 179
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Umar Nurmagomedov for the expected result. Had Bekzat Almakhan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -16Umar Nurmagomedov: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 104
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -13Umar Nurmagomedov: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9871 305
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -24Umar Nurmagomedov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes Landed368
Significant Strikes Attempted1698
Total Strikes Landed5145
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO9761 392
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 145 vs 5 total strikes, 68 vs 3 significant strikes, 69.4% vs 18.8% accuracy. Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -24Umar Nurmagomedov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:3411:26
Ground Strikes Landed061
Ground ELO9761 381
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov dominated Bekzat Almakhan on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:26 of control time, 61 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -13Umar Nurmagomedov: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Days Since Last FightN/A413
Activity ELO9871 143
ELO Change-13+12
💡

What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov demonstrated extended layoff with 413 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Bekzat Almakhan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -14Umar Nurmagomedov: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO9861 139
ELO Change-14+27
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Bekzat Almakhan's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Bekzat Almakhan: -16Umar Nurmagomedov: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricBekzat AlmakhanUmar Nurmagomedov
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 104
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.