June 11, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 33 |
| Experience Gap | -19 | 19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 305 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -35 |
Belal Muhammad overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 33 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demian Maia.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 144 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 363 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Belal Muhammad earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 234 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Belal Muhammad dominated the striking exchanges with 92 vs 23 total strikes, 45 vs 21 significant strikes. Belal Muhammad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 21 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 342 | 1 477 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Belal Muhammad did not secure a significant ground advantage against Demian Maia on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 455 |
| Activity ELO | 1 340 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -28 |
Belal Muhammad demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Belal Muhammad capitalized on this activity level, while Demian Maia's 455-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 189 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Belal Muhammad started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Demian Maia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 144 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.