May 5, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 435 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -30 |
Belal Muhammad overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (18 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gilbert Burns.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 224 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 578 | 1 541 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Belal Muhammad earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 132 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 283 | 147 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 439 | 1 437 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Belal Muhammad dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 81 total strikes, 132 vs 81 significant strikes, 46.6% vs 55.1% accuracy. Belal Muhammad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 550 | 1 587 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 462 | 1 459 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Belal Muhammad demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Belal Muhammad capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Burns's 28-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 314 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -23 |
Belal Muhammad continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gilbert Burns's now at 0.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 222 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.