Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry

November 22, 2025

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1399
(-32)
Belal Muhammad
Winner: Ian Machado Garry
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Belal Muhammad-32
Ian Machado Garry+37
1352
(+37)
Ian Machado Garry

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -38Ian Machado Garry: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Total UFC Fights2111
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 3931 419
ELO Change-38+64
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What Happened

Ian Machado Garry overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Belal Muhammad.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -29Ian Machado Garry: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 2591 184
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -58Ian Machado Garry: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 5211 495
ELO Change-58+58
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What Happened

Ian Machado Garry earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -23Ian Machado Garry: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Significant Strikes Landed5672
Significant Strikes Attempted139141
Total Strikes Landed9796
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4461 507
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

Ian Machado Garry controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 56 significant strikes, 51.1% vs 40.3% accuracy. Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -36Ian Machado Garry: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted72
Ground Control Time3:350:39
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 5771 336
ELO Change-36+36
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What Happened

Ian Machado Garry did not secure a significant ground advantage against Belal Muhammad on the ground with 0:39 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -27Ian Machado Garry: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Days Since Last Fight196210
Activity ELO1 4281 386
ELO Change-27+34
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What Happened

Ian Machado Garry demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this activity level, while Belal Muhammad's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -26Ian Machado Garry: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 3321 311
ELO Change-26+31
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What Happened

Ian Machado Garry extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Belal Muhammad is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -25Ian Machado Garry: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadIan Machado Garry
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1931 179
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

Extra Bonuses
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Why It Matters:

Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

Belal Muhammad

Title Victory Bonus For This Fight: +0
Total Title Victories So Far:1
Total Title Victory Bonus So Far:5