May 10, 2025
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 431 | 1 429 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +76 |
Jack Della Maddalena overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Belal Muhammad.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 288 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +91 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Jack Della Maddalena captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 579 | 1 566 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Jack Della Maddalena earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 132 | 178 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 318 | 342 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 155 | 200 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 469 | 1 559 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jack Della Maddalena controlled the striking exchanges with 200 vs 155 total strikes, 178 vs 132 significant strikes, 52.0% vs 41.5% accuracy. Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:21 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 613 | 1 407 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jack Della Maddalena did not secure a significant ground advantage against Belal Muhammad on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 288 | 428 |
| Activity ELO | 1 455 | 1 391 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +25 |
Jack Della Maddalena demonstrated extended layoff with 428 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this activity level, while Belal Muhammad's 288-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 8 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 358 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +93 |
Jack Della Maddalena continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Belal Muhammad's now at 0.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 218 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.