July 7, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -31 |
Belal Muhammad overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jordan Mein.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 153 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Belal Muhammad earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 116 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Belal Muhammad dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 49 total strikes, 45 vs 36 significant strikes, 40.9% vs 59.0% accuracy. Belal Muhammad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:55 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 165 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Belal Muhammad dominated Jordan Mein on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 6:55 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 135 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Belal Muhammad demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Belal Muhammad capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Mein's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Belal Muhammad extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Mein is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Jordan Mein |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.