June 19, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 206 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Belal Muhammad's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Belal Muhammad for the expected result. Had Lyman Good pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 105 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 287 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Belal Muhammad earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 82 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 172 | 172 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Belal Muhammad slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Belal Muhammad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:44 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 302 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Belal Muhammad edged out Lyman Good on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:44 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 255 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Belal Muhammad demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Belal Muhammad capitalized on this activity level, while Lyman Good's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 139 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Belal Muhammad extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lyman Good is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 105 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.