February 10, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 035 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 103 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Belal Muhammad earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 135 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 994 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Belal Muhammad dominated the striking exchanges with 135 vs 65 total strikes, 71 vs 52 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 35.9% accuracy. Belal Muhammad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:53 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 099 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Belal Muhammad controlled Randy Brown on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:53 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 64 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -25 |
Belal Muhammad demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Belal Muhammad capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Brown's 64-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Belal Muhammad started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Belal Muhammad | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.