Belal Muhammad vs Vicente Luque

November 11, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1001
(-29)
Belal Muhammad
Winner: Vicente Luque
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:19

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Belal Muhammad-29
Vicente Luque+45
1149
(+45)
Vicente Luque

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -26Vicente Luque: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Total UFC Fights35
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9911 100
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vicente Luque for the expected result. Had Belal Muhammad pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -19Vicente Luque: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 061
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -29Vicente Luque: +69

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:191:19
Win Type ELO1 0511 263
ELO Change-29+69
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -76Vicente Luque: +76

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Significant Strikes Landed39
Significant Strikes Attempted1021
Total Strikes Landed39
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9411 215
ELO Change-76+76
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 3 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 30.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -34Vicente Luque: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:03
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO1 0301 224
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -18Vicente Luque: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Days Since Last Fight5750
Activity ELO1 0341 189
ELO Change-18+91
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 50 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Belal Muhammad's 57-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -18Vicente Luque: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9891 079
ELO Change-18+25
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Belal Muhammad is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Belal Muhammad: -19Vicente Luque: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricBelal MuhammadVicente Luque
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 061
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.