July 5, 2019
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 150 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Jorge Masvidal's 15-fight experience advantage (17 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jorge Masvidal for the expected result. Had Ben Askren pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:05 | 0:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 124 | 1 565 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +27 |
Jorge Masvidal achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:05 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 549 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 085 | 1 365 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +10 |
Jorge Masvidal demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Askren's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Jorge Masvidal extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Askren is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

