March 1, 2019
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -19 | 19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 175 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +175 | -175 |
Ben Askren overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Robbie Lawler.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:20 | 3:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 1 419 |
| ELO Change | +131 | -79 |
Ben Askren earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 385 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Robbie Lawler controlled the striking through superior volume (30 vs 3 total strikes), significant strike advantage (26 vs 0), superior accuracy (89.7% vs 0.0%). However, since Robbie Lawler lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ben Askren's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:59 | 0:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Ben Askren controlled Robbie Lawler on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:59 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 441 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 1 362 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Ben Askren demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ben Askren capitalized on this activity level, while Robbie Lawler's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -33 |
Ben Askren started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robbie Lawler is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Askren | Robbie Lawler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.