February 9, 2018
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 086 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Jussier Formiga's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jussier Formiga for the expected result. Had Ben Nguyen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:43 | 1:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 163 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +63 |
Jussier Formiga earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ben Nguyen was submitted.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Jussier Formiga controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 21 significant strikes, 55.1% vs 32.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jussier Formiga capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 4:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 986 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | -124 | +124 |
Jussier Formiga dominated Ben Nguyen on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:03 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 246 | 142 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Jussier Formiga demonstrated solid activity levels with 142 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jussier Formiga capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Nguyen's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Jussier Formiga extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Nguyen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Jussier Formiga |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

