November 30, 2018
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Wilson Reis's 5-fight experience advantage (12 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Wilson Reis for the expected result. Had Ben Nguyen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 115 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Wilson Reis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 066 | 948 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Ben Nguyen controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (39 vs 32). However, since Ben Nguyen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Wilson Reis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 17 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 5:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 939 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Wilson Reis controlled Ben Nguyen on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 5:57 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Wilson Reis demonstrated standard activity with 232 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Wilson Reis capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Nguyen's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Wilson Reis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Nguyen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 015 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.