May 21, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 160 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Ben Rothwell's 15-fight experience advantage (16 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ben Rothwell for the expected result. Had Chris Barnett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 352 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -11 |
Ben Rothwell earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:07, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Barnett was submitted.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 224 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Ben Rothwell controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 34 total strikes, 60 vs 33 significant strikes, 59.4% vs 38.8% accuracy. Ben Rothwell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:03 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Ben Rothwell controlled Chris Barnett on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:03 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 174 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Ben Rothwell demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ben Rothwell capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Barnett's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 103 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Ben Rothwell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Barnett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Chris Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

