Ben Rothwell vs Chris Barnett

May 21, 2021

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1168
(+19)
Ben Rothwell
Winner: Ben Rothwell
Submission
Round 2 • 2:07

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ben Rothwell+19
Chris Barnett-18
982
(-18)
Chris Barnett

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +19Chris Barnett: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Total UFC Fights161
Experience Gap15-15
Experience ELO1 160981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell's 15-fight experience advantage (16 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ben Rothwell for the expected result. Had Chris Barnett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +18Chris Barnett: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 068982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +16Chris Barnett: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:072:07
Win Type ELO1 352989
ELO Change+16-11
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:07, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chris Barnett was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +18Chris Barnett: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Significant Strikes Landed6033
Significant Strikes Attempted10185
Total Strikes Landed7234
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 224982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 34 total strikes, 60 vs 33 significant strikes, 59.4% vs 38.8% accuracy. Ben Rothwell capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +34Chris Barnett: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time2:030:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 204966
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell controlled Chris Barnett on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:03 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +15Chris Barnett: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Days Since Last Fight224N/A
Activity ELO1 174988
ELO Change+15-12
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ben Rothwell capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Barnett's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +17Chris Barnett: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 103984
ELO Change+17-16
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Barnett is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: +19Chris Barnett: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellChris Barnett
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.