Ben Rothwell vs Gabriel Gonzaga

January 18, 2013

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1023
(-26)
Ben Rothwell
Winner: Gabriel Gonzaga
Submission
Round 2 • 1:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ben Rothwell-26
Gabriel Gonzaga+29
1145
(+29)
Gabriel Gonzaga

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -28Gabriel Gonzaga: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Total UFC Fights514
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 0131 107
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga's 9-fight experience advantage (14 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Gonzaga for the expected result. Had Ben Rothwell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -18Gabriel Gonzaga: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9901 069
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -35Gabriel Gonzaga: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:011:01
Win Type ELO1 1131 264
ELO Change-35+54
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:01, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ben Rothwell was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -23Gabriel Gonzaga: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Significant Strikes Landed1217
Significant Strikes Attempted2728
Total Strikes Landed1520
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0581 182
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 17 vs 12 significant strikes, 60.7% vs 44.4% accuracy. Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -52Gabriel Gonzaga: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time0:372:18
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0091 260
ELO Change-52+52
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga dominated Ben Rothwell on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:18 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -16Gabriel Gonzaga: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Days Since Last Fight274371
Activity ELO1 0141 122
ELO Change-16+15
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Rothwell's 274-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -18Gabriel Gonzaga: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9971 088
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Rothwell is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Rothwell: -18Gabriel Gonzaga: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricBen RothwellGabriel Gonzaga
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9901 069
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.