November 12, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +54 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ben Rothwell.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:32 | 0:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 293 | 1 358 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +157 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:32 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 2 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 25.0% accuracy. Marcos Rogerio de Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 174 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 148 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marcos Rogerio de Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Rothwell's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Rothwell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.