December 6, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -32 |
Ben Rothwell overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stefan Struve.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:57 | 4:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 390 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -40 |
Ben Rothwell gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 229 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Ben Rothwell controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 53 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 68.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ben Rothwell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:38 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Ben Rothwell landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 129 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -28 |
Ben Rothwell demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ben Rothwell capitalized on this activity level, while Stefan Struve's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Ben Rothwell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stefan Struve is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Rothwell | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.