December 9, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Ben Saunders's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ben Saunders for the expected result. Had Brandon Wolff pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:49 | 1:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 172 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -30 |
Ben Saunders earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 227 | 880 |
| ELO Change | +120 | -120 |
Ben Saunders controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 4 total strikes, 42 vs 0 significant strikes, 82.4% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ben Saunders capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:48 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Ben Saunders did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brandon Wolff on the ground with 0:48 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 124 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Ben Saunders demonstrated solid activity levels with 124 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ben Saunders capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Wolff's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Ben Saunders extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Wolff is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Brandon Wolff |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

