August 22, 2014
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Ben Saunders's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ben Saunders for the expected result. Had Chris Heatherly pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:18 | 2:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Ben Saunders earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Chris Heatherly controlled the striking through superior accuracy (80.0% vs 66.7%). However, since Chris Heatherly lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ben Saunders's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 044 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Ben Saunders edged out Chris Heatherly on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 477 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -16 |
Ben Saunders demonstrated extended layoff with 1477 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ben Saunders capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Heatherly's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Ben Saunders started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Heatherly is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Chris Heatherly |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.