March 26, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Jon Fitch's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Fitch for the expected result. Had Ben Saunders pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 248 | 1 396 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Jon Fitch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 212 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 208 | 1 430 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jon Fitch dominated the striking exchanges with 212 vs 31 total strikes, 72 vs 17 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 56.7% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 12:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 38 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 1 512 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Jon Fitch dominated Ben Saunders on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 12:13 of control time, 38 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +27 |
Jon Fitch demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Saunders's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +15 |
Jon Fitch extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Saunders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

