Ben Saunders vs Matt Brown

December 13, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

971
(-15)
Ben Saunders
Winner: Matt Brown
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:55

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ben Saunders-15
Matt Brown+17
1208
(+17)
Matt Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -14Matt Brown: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Total UFC Fights1925
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9161 163
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown's 6-fight experience advantage (25 vs 19 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Ben Saunders pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -15Matt Brown: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9731 097
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -14Matt Brown: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:554:55
Win Type ELO1 1011 418
ELO Change-14+29
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -17Matt Brown: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Significant Strikes Landed1230
Significant Strikes Attempted2347
Total Strikes Landed3840
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8331 202
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 12 significant strikes, 63.8% vs 52.2% accuracy. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -20Matt Brown: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:107:33
Ground Strikes Landed718
Ground ELO8791 204
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown controlled Ben Saunders on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:33 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -11Matt Brown: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Days Since Last Fight232763
Activity ELO1 0901 300
ELO Change-11+9
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown demonstrated extended layoff with 763 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Saunders's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -12Matt Brown: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0051 183
ELO Change-12+15
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Saunders is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Saunders: -16Matt Brown: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SaundersMatt Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9711 094
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.