June 12, 2009
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mike Swick's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Swick for the expected result. Had Ben Saunders pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:47 | 3:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 152 | 1 413 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +42 |
Mike Swick gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 159 | 1 404 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Mike Swick controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 29 total strikes, 10 vs 17 significant strikes, 28.6% vs 54.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mike Swick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 5:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 111 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Mike Swick landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 185 | 185 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +14 |
Mike Swick demonstrated standard activity with 185 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mike Swick capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Saunders's 185-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +21 |
Mike Swick extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Saunders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

