January 16, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Patrick Cote's 8-fight experience advantage (19 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Ben Saunders pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:14 | 1:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 241 | 1 329 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +101 |
Patrick Cote gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Patrick Cote controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 11 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 40.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Patrick Cote capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:34 | 1:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Patrick Cote did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ben Saunders on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:30 of control time, 20 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 177 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Saunders's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Patrick Cote extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Saunders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.