May 27, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +58 |
Peter Sobotta overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ben Saunders.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:29 | 2:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +134 |
Peter Sobotta gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 97 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 897 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -226 | +226 |
Peter Sobotta dominated the striking exchanges with 50 vs 23 total strikes, 46 vs 19 significant strikes, 47.4% vs 27.9% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Peter Sobotta capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 085 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Peter Sobotta landed 3 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 140 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +38 |
Peter Sobotta demonstrated standard activity with 267 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Peter Sobotta capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Saunders's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +33 |
Peter Sobotta extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Saunders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.