August 8, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 099 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -37 |
Ben Saunders earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ryan Thomas was submitted.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Ben Saunders controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 32 total strikes, 41 vs 12 significant strikes, 70.7% vs 22.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ben Saunders capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:08 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 147 | 875 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -125 |
Ben Saunders dominated Ryan Thomas on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:08 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Ben Saunders demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ben Saunders capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Thomas's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Ben Saunders extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Thomas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Saunders | Ryan Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

