Ben Sosoli vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

February 21, 2020

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

969
(-31)
Ben Sosoli
Winner: Marcos Rogerio de Lima
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ben Sosoli-31
Marcos Rogerio de Lima+36
1093
(+36)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -32Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Total UFC Fights210
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO9681 029
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marcos Rogerio de Lima for the expected result. Had Ben Sosoli pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -20Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 036
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -23Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:281:28
Win Type ELO9771 224
ELO Change-23+55
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What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -65Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Significant Strikes Landed519
Significant Strikes Attempted1734
Total Strikes Landed519
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9351 237
ELO Change-65+65
💡

What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 5 significant strikes, 55.9% vs 29.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marcos Rogerio de Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -56Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9441 035
ELO Change-56+56
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -16Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Days Since Last Fight128364
Activity ELO9841 093
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Marcos Rogerio de Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Sosoli's 128-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -19Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9811 051
ELO Change-19+21
💡

What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Sosoli is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ben Sosoli: -20Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricBen SosoliMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 036
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.