February 21, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marcos Rogerio de Lima for the expected result. Had Ben Sosoli pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 977 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +55 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 935 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 5 significant strikes, 55.9% vs 29.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marcos Rogerio de Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 944 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 128 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Marcos Rogerio de Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Sosoli's 128-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Sosoli is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Sosoli | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

