May 9, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 950 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Justin Salas's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Justin Salas for the expected result. Had Ben Wall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:41 | 2:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 919 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +87 |
Justin Salas earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 743 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Justin Salas controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 4 significant strikes, 76.9% vs 28.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Salas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 910 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Justin Salas landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 960 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Justin Salas demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Justin Salas capitalized on this activity level, while Ben Wall's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Justin Salas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ben Wall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ben Wall | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

