February 5, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 256 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Beneil Dariush's 8-fight experience advantage (19 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Beneil Dariush for the expected result. Had Diego Ferreira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 183 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 455 | 1 440 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Beneil Dariush receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 121 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 399 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Beneil Dariush edged the striking exchanges with 62 vs 54 significant strikes, 53.4% vs 44.6% accuracy. Beneil Dariush capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:23 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 482 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Beneil Dariush controlled Diego Ferreira on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 7:23 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 1 411 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Beneil Dariush demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Beneil Dariush capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Ferreira's 385-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 279 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -20 |
Beneil Dariush continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Diego Ferreira's now at 0.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 182 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

