March 8, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 139 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Beneil Dariush's 3-fight experience advantage (15 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Beneil Dariush for the expected result. Had Drew Dober pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 115 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:41 | 4:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 319 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -36 |
Beneil Dariush earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Drew Dober was submitted.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Beneil Dariush slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 37 vs 31 significant strikes. Beneil Dariush capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:17 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 373 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +135 | -135 |
Beneil Dariush dominated Drew Dober on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:17 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 353 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -8 |
Beneil Dariush demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Beneil Dariush capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 163 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Beneil Dariush extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 114 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

