Beneil Dariush vs Drew Dober

March 8, 2019

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1216
(+40)
Beneil Dariush
Winner: Beneil Dariush
Submission
Round 2 • 4:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Beneil Dariush+40
Drew Dober-36
1078
(-36)
Drew Dober

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +29Drew Dober: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Total UFC Fights1512
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 1391 048
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Beneil Dariush's 3-fight experience advantage (15 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Beneil Dariush for the expected result. Had Drew Dober pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +18Drew Dober: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1151 028
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +56Drew Dober: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:414:41
Win Type ELO1 3191 180
ELO Change+56-36
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What Happened

Beneil Dariush earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Drew Dober was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +27Drew Dober: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Significant Strikes Landed3731
Significant Strikes Attempted6558
Total Strikes Landed4138
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1541 143
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Beneil Dariush slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 37 vs 31 significant strikes. Beneil Dariush capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +135Drew Dober: -135

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time5:171:01
Ground Strikes Landed100
Ground ELO1 3731 072
ELO Change+135-135
💡

What Happened

Beneil Dariush dominated Drew Dober on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:17 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +21Drew Dober: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Days Since Last Fight119197
Activity ELO1 3531 078
ELO Change+21-8
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What Happened

Beneil Dariush demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Beneil Dariush capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +20Drew Dober: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1631 050
ELO Change+20-16
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What Happened

Beneil Dariush extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Beneil Dariush: +18Drew Dober: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBeneil DariushDrew Dober
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1141 028
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.