April 15, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 211 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 248 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +70 |
Michael Chiesa earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Beneil Dariush was submitted.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Beneil Dariush controlled the striking through superior volume (27 vs 12 total strikes), significant strike advantage (27 vs 11), superior accuracy (50.9% vs 21.2%). However, since Beneil Dariush lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michael Chiesa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 1:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 289 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Michael Chiesa controlled Beneil Dariush on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:16 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 128 |
| Activity ELO | 1 327 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +65 |
Michael Chiesa demonstrated solid activity levels with 128 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Chiesa capitalized on this activity level, while Beneil Dariush's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 135 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +31 |
Michael Chiesa extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Beneil Dariush is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

