June 28, 2025
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 293 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Beneil Dariush's 5-fight experience advantage (24 vs 19 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Beneil Dariush for the expected result. Had Renato Moicano pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 195 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 498 | 1 438 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Beneil Dariush earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 289 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Beneil Dariush controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 38 total strikes, 56 vs 31 significant strikes. Beneil Dariush capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:53 | 1:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 506 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Beneil Dariush controlled Renato Moicano on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 5:53 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 575 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 434 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -13 |
Beneil Dariush demonstrated extended layoff with 575 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Beneil Dariush capitalized on this activity level, while Renato Moicano's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 364 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -12 |
Beneil Dariush started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renato Moicano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 190 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

