November 9, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 110 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Beneil Dariush's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Beneil Dariush for the expected result. Had Thiago Moises pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 263 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Beneil Dariush earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Beneil Dariush dominated the striking exchanges with 113 vs 20 total strikes, 44 vs 8 significant strikes, 64.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Beneil Dariush capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:32 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 34 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Beneil Dariush dominated Thiago Moises on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 13:32 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 332 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -6 |
Beneil Dariush demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Beneil Dariush capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Moises's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -14 |
Beneil Dariush started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Moises is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

