May 14, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 297 | 1 329 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (20 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 205 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 506 | 1 481 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Beneil Dariush earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 436 | 1 365 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Beneil Dariush controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 37 total strikes, 23 vs 15 significant strikes. Beneil Dariush capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:15 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 528 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Beneil Dariush controlled Tony Ferguson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 12:15 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 469 | 1 427 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -23 |
Beneil Dariush demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Beneil Dariush capitalized on this activity level, while Tony Ferguson's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 372 | 1 450 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -32 |
Beneil Dariush continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tony Ferguson's now at 0.
| Metric | Beneil Dariush | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 204 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.