Benoit Saint Denis vs Dustin Poirier

March 8, 2024

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1203
(-20)
Benoit Saint Denis
Winner: Dustin Poirier
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Benoit Saint Denis-20
Dustin Poirier+23
1391
(+23)
Dustin Poirier

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -15Dustin Poirier: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Total UFC Fights730
Experience Gap-2323
Experience ELO1 1551 382
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier's 23-fight experience advantage (30 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dustin Poirier for the expected result. Had Benoit Saint Denis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -13Dustin Poirier: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0751 241
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -19Dustin Poirier: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:322:32
Win Type ELO1 3871 656
ELO Change-19+39
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -61Dustin Poirier: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Significant Strikes Landed5028
Significant Strikes Attempted7434
Total Strikes Landed6930
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 3151 535
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Benoit Saint Denis controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (69 vs 30 total strikes), significant strike advantage (50 vs 28), superior accuracy (67.6% vs 82.4%). However, since Benoit Saint Denis lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dustin Poirier's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -21Dustin Poirier: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted71
Ground Control Time4:530:31
Ground Strikes Landed21
Ground ELO1 2931 335
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -10Dustin Poirier: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Days Since Last Fight119225
Activity ELO1 2041 423
ELO Change-10+13
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dustin Poirier capitalized on this activity level, while Benoit Saint Denis's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -11Dustin Poirier: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 1201 319
ELO Change-11+12
💡

What Happened

Dustin Poirier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Benoit Saint Denis is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Benoit Saint Denis: -13Dustin Poirier: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricBenoit Saint DenisDustin Poirier
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0751 237
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.